Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Climate Tricks 48, Denying climate cycles

Yesterday, I participated in the two-days Energy Policy Development Program (EPDP) Conference 2016. I was one of the panel speakers in the simultaneous discussions and I talked on this subject.

My Outline

I.  Climate change as natural  and cyclical events, not anthropogenic
II. But “man-made” CC means more rains and less rains, more flood and less flood…
III. Renewables to “save the planet”, Germany and UK cases
IV. Expensive electricity + mandatory renewables, Philippine case
V. Towards cheaper, reliable energy sources
VI. Summary and recommendations

I will post only Section I in this article.

Yes, nature including humanity, is about cycles. Birth, procreation, death, creating another generation that will repeat the cycle. Day-night cycle, El Nino - La Nina cycle. The current big El Nino has peaked, so La Nina is coming soon.

The PDO, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) cycle...

Climate changes from warming-cooling-warming-cooling... in endless natural cycles.

CWP was milder compared to MWP and RWP.

There are various types of solar cycles, from  the short-term, average 11-years cycle to multi-decades and hundreds of years cycle. The little ice age (LIA) about two centuries ago occurred during very weak total solar irradiance (TSI), during solar cycle (SC) 4 and 5.

There is also the very long-term Milankovitch cycles.

In one estimate made by systems engineer Dr. Ira Glickstein, he estimated that out of the 0.6 C warming that happened during the CWP that peaked more than a decade ago, "man-made" warming  contributed around 0.1 C while nature-made warming contributed some 0.5 C.

So if people say there is no climate cycle, there is no global cooling, only global warming, they are being dishonest, or duped by the anthropogenic or "man-made" global warming (AGW) alarmism. As I argued in the past, the purpose of climate alarmism is to have more government, more regulations and taxation, more energy favoritism, more costly travel and lifestyle, unless the source of power are the new renewables.

See also:

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